Likelihood to vote for Trump in 2020 vs. previous presidents

Trump is in worse shape for re-election than Obama, Bush were at this point in their presidencies.

Definitely/probably vote for incumbent

Definitely/probably vote against incumbent

Not sure

0

20

40

60

80

100%

Donald Trump (Feb. 2019)

41%

48%

11%

Barack Obama (Feb. 2011)

45%

40%

15%

George W. Bush (April 2003)

52%

42%

6%

Bill Clinton (Jan. 1995)

38%

42%

20%

Definitely/probably vote for incumbent

Definitely/probably vote against incumbent

Not sure

0

20

40

60

80

100%

Donald Trump

(Feb. 2019)

41%

48%

11%

Barack Obama

(Feb. 2011)

45%

40%

15%

George W. Bush

(April 2003)

52%

42%

6%

Bill Clinton

(Jan. 1995)

38%

42%

20%

Definitely/probably vote for incumbent

Definitely/probably vote against

incumbent

Not sure

0

20

40

60

80

100%

Donald Trump

(Feb. 2019)

41%

48%

Barack Obama

(Feb. 2011)

45%

40%

George W. Bush

(April 2003)

52%

42%

Bill Clinton

(Jan. 1995)

38%

42%

Note: Margin of error +/- 3.65%

Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted Feb. 24-27, 2019.

Graphic: Jiachuan Wu / NBC News