U.S. government assessment of possible Russian attack routes

Probable Russian axis of advance

Two routes to surround the capital Kyiv

Six routes to take over the eastern flank and 50 percent of Ukraine’s military

Belarus

Klintsy

Gomel

Brest

Chernihiv

Poland

Chernobyl

Zhytomyr

Lviv

Kyiv

Kharkiv

Ukraine

Poltava

Luhansk

Dnipro

Moldova

Donetsk

Zaporizhzhia

Romania

Sea

of Azov

Odessa

Russia

Crimea

Sevastopol

A route to create a land bridge and control much of the Black Sea coast

Black Sea

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Probable Russian axis of advance

Six routes to take over the eastern flank and 50 percent of Ukraine’s military

Two routes to surround the capital Kyiv

Belarus

Klintsy

Gomel

Brest

Chernihiv

Russia

Chernobyl

Zhytomyr

Lviv

Kyiv

Kharkiv

Poltava

Ukraine

Luhansk

Dnipro

Moldova

Zaporizhzhia

Donetsk

Sea

of Azov

Odessa

Romania

Crimea

Sevastopol

A route to create a land bridge and control much of the Black Sea coast

Black Sea

Probable Russian axis of advance

Two routes to surround the capital Kyiv

Russia

Belarus

Klintsy

Gomel

Six routes to take over the eastern flank and 50 percent of Ukraine’s military

Brest

Chernihiv

Poland

Chernobyl

Zhytomyr

Lviv

Kyiv

Kharkiv

Ukraine

Poltava

Luhansk

Dnipro

Moldova

Donetsk

Zaporizhzhia

Romania

Odessa

Sea of Azov

Crimea

Black Sea

Sevastopol

A route to create a land bridge and control much of the Black Sea coast

Probable Russian axis of advance

Two routes to surround the capital Kyiv

Klintsy

Belarus

Gomel

Six routes to take over the eastern flank and 50 percent of Ukraine’s military

Brest

Chernihiv

Poland

Chernobyl

Zhytomyr

Lviv

Kyiv

Russia

Kharkiv

Poltava

Ukraine

Luhansk

Dnipro

Moldova

Donetsk

Zaporizhzhia

Romania

Odessa

Sea of Azov

Crimea

A route to create a land bridge and control much of the Black Sea coast

Sevastopol

Black Sea